| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.6% | 66% | -13.0% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.9% | 89% | -11.2% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.0% | 84% | -14.9% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% | 64% | -6.2% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.5% | 22.6% | 25.9% |
| xgboost | 52.2% | 25.4% | 22.5% |
| logistic | 52.1% | 25.3% | 22.5% |
| Aldershot | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1341 | 1294 |
| Surface Elo | 1341 | 1294 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.43 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.86 | 3.17 |
| Rest days | 2 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 4 W · 3 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Sutton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Sutton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Wealdstone | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Wealdstone | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Altrincham | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Boston Utd | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Boston Utd | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Stafford Rangers | 0 - 5 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Halifax | 1 - 4 | L |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Aldershot | 0 - 1 | Gateshead |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Gateshead | 3 - 3 | Aldershot |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Aldershot | 3 - 1 | Gateshead |
| 16 Nov 2024 | Gateshead | 2 - 2 | Aldershot |
| 17 Apr 2024 | Gateshead | 0 - 1 | Aldershot |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Aldershot | 1 - 1 | Gateshead |
| 25 Mar 2023 | Aldershot | 2 - 3 | Gateshead |
| 03 Dec 2022 | Gateshead | 0 - 2 | Aldershot |
| 02 Mar 2019 | Aldershot | 0 - 2 | Gateshead |
| 27 Oct 2018 | Gateshead | 3 - 0 | Aldershot |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.20 | 19.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.30 | 23.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.58 | 63.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |