| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.2% | 51% | +5.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.7% | 39.2% |
| logistic | 60.4% | 39.6% |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Lorenzo Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1825 | 1723 |
| Surface Elo | 1825 | 1723 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.38 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.88 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 14 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Valentin Royer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Valentin Royer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Jiri Lehecka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Jenson Brooksby | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.90 | 52.6% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 24 Oct 06:15 |