| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prediction run for this match yet. | |||||
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| – | |||
| Heerenveen | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1570 | 1503 |
| Surface Elo | 1570 | 1503 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 7 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 16 Oct | H | Excelsior | 4 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | PSV Eindhoven | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | PSV Eindhoven | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Heerenveen | 0 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Groningen | 1 - 5 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Groningen | 1 - 5 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | ZSV Sportlust 46 | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Ajax | 2 - 2 | D |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Heerenveen | 4 - 0 | Excelsior |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Excelsior | 1 - 2 | Heerenveen |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Heerenveen | 2 - 1 | Excelsior |
| 19 Jan 2024 | Excelsior | 3 - 0 | Heerenveen |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Heerenveen | 0 - 3 | Excelsior |
| 13 May 2023 | Heerenveen | 0 - 0 | Excelsior |
| 05 Nov 2022 | Excelsior | 0 - 1 | Heerenveen |
| 30 Mar 2019 | Heerenveen | 1 - 0 | Excelsior |
| 22 Sep 2018 | Excelsior | 3 - 3 | Heerenveen |
| 24 Feb 2018 | Heerenveen | 0 - 1 | Excelsior |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 5.00 | 20.0% | 16 Oct 19:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.33 | 23.1% | 16 Oct 19:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.60 | 62.5% | 16 Oct 19:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.40 | 71.4% | 16 Oct 19:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.88 | 34.7% | 16 Oct 19:00 |