OgaOods

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Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-11

NFL · Sunday 11 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished

New York Jets – 17 - 12 – Cleveland Browns

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	59.3%	45%	+14.1%	✗ miss

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	40.7%	59.3%

Inputs the models saw

	New York Jets	Cleveland Browns
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.18
form diff	-0.50
rest diff	-0.39
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.73
opponent strength diff	-0.04
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-10T17:00:00+00:00

New York Jets: last 5

04 Oct	A	Chicago Bears	12 - 23	L
27 Sep	A	Detroit Lions	24 - 31	L
20 Sep	H	Green Bay Packers	17 - 20	L
13 Sep	A	Tennessee Titans	23 - 10	W
04 Jan	A	Buffalo Bills	8 - 35	L

Cleveland Browns: last 5

02 Oct	H	Pittsburgh Steelers	27 - 24	W
27 Sep	H	Carolina Panthers	21 - 18	W
20 Sep	A	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	23 - 19	W
13 Sep	A	Jacksonville Jaguars	10 - 34	L
04 Jan	A	Cincinnati Bengals	20 - 18	W

Head to head

09 Nov 2025	New York Jets	27 - 20	Cleveland Browns
29 Dec 2023	Cleveland Browns	37 - 20	New York Jets
18 Sep 2022	Cleveland Browns	30 - 31	New York Jets
27 Dec 2020	New York Jets	23 - 16	Cleveland Browns
17 Sep 2019	New York Jets	3 - 23	Cleveland Browns
21 Sep 2018	Cleveland Browns	21 - 17	New York Jets
08 Oct 2017	Cleveland Browns	14 - 17	New York Jets
30 Oct 2016	Cleveland Browns	28 - 31	New York Jets
13 Sep 2015	New York Jets	31 - 10	Cleveland Browns
22 Dec 2013	New York Jets	24 - 13	Cleveland Browns

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.72	58.1%	11 Oct 12:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	2.23	44.8%	11 Oct 12:20

Generated 2026-10-30 18:16 UTC