| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 45.9% | 56% | -10.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.8% | 79% | -3.0% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.6% | 74% | -13.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 43% | +7.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 48.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 28.9% | 24.9% | 46.2% |
| xgboost | 40.0% | 21.2% | 38.8% |
| logistic | 23.8% | 27.9% | 48.3% |
| Le Mans | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1552 | 1736 |
| Surface Elo | 1552 | 1736 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.25 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Troyes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Troyes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Auxerre | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Auxerre | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Toulouse | 0 - 3 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Nordsjaelland | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Paris FC | 1 - 3 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Paris FC | 1 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Lille | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Lille | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.78 | 56.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.11 | 24.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.42 | 22.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.59 | 62.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |