| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.0% | 47% | +5.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.6% | 61.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.8% | 46.1% |
| logistic | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| Marco Cecchinato | Francisco Comesana | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1667 | 1608 |
| Surface Elo | 1667 | 1608 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.10 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| Rest days | 3 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Marco Cecchinato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Marco Cecchinato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Carlos Maria Zarate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Nick Hardt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Carlos Maria Zarate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov 2026 | Marco Cecchinato | 2 - 1 | Francisco Comesana |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Francisco Comesana | 1 - 2 | Marco Cecchinato |
| 17 Jun 2024 | Francisco Comesana | 0 - 2 | Marco Cecchinato |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |