| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.9% | 64% | -2.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 32.0% | 68.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 41.4% | 58.6% |
| logistic | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Yaroslav Demin | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1388 | 1497 |
| Surface Elo | 1388 | 1497 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Beibit Zhukayev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Mar | A | Jonas Forejtek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Nov | A | Petr Bar Biryukov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Nov | A | Li Tu | 0 - 1 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Shintaro Imai | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Luca Castelnuovo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Luka Pavlovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Luka Pavlovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |