| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.0% | 45% | +5.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.2% | 76% | +0.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.3% | 63% | +3.5% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 54% | -0.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.1% | 28.7% | 20.2% |
| xgboost | 42.8% | 30.8% | 26.4% |
| logistic | 42.1% | 27.7% | 30.2% |
| Cove Rangers | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1405 | 1387 |
| Surface Elo | 1405 | 1387 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.56 | 0.89 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.89 | 0.78 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.11 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 5 W · 2 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Queen of the South FC | 3 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Queen of Sth | 3 - 4 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Aberdeen | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Fraserburgh | 5 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Ross County | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | East Kilbride | 0 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | East Kilbride | 0 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Clydebank FC | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Montrose | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Montrose | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Aug 2026 | East Fife | 2 - 0 | Cove Rangers |
| 02 May 2026 | Cove Rangers | 0 - 0 | East Fife |
| 14 Feb 2026 | East Fife | 2 - 1 | Cove Rangers |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Cove Rangers | 0 - 1 | East Fife |
| 04 Oct 2025 | East Fife | 2 - 0 | Cove Rangers |
| 30 Apr 2022 | East Fife | 2 - 3 | Cove Rangers |
| 26 Dec 2021 | Cove Rangers | 4 - 2 | East Fife |
| 16 Oct 2021 | East Fife | 4 - 2 | Cove Rangers |
| 14 Aug 2021 | Cove Rangers | 5 - 2 | East Fife |
| 27 Mar 2021 | East Fife | 0 - 0 | Cove Rangers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.83 | 54.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |