| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.0% | 68% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.8% | 40.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 71.1% | 28.9% |
| logistic | 62.3% | 37.7% |
| Carlos Taberner | Oleksii Krutykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1636 | 1510 |
| Surface Elo | 1636 | 1510 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Goncalo Marques | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Benjamin Hassan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Samuele Pieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Liborio, Pedro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Milos Karol | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Diogo Marques | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Javier Barranco Cosano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Jan 2024 | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 0 | Oleksii Krutykh |
| 02 Oct 2023 | Carlos Taberner | 0 - 2 | Oleksii Krutykh |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 19 Oct 06:15 |