| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.9% | 61% | -3.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 32.3% | 67.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| logistic | 43.6% | 56.4% |
| Tiago Cacao | Milos Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1405 | 1484 |
| Surface Elo | 1405 | 1484 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Sep | A | Anton Matusevich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jun | H | Tobias Kamke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Apr | A | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Mar | H | Timofey Skatov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Gabriele Bosio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jun | A | Alex Molcan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jun | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 May | A | Andrej Martin | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.63 | 61.4% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 04 Oct 06:15 |