| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.3% | 63% | -4.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.8% | 31.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| logistic | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| Jan Lennard Struff | Marcos Giron | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1814 | 1685 |
| Surface Elo | 1814 | 1685 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 10 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Martin Landaluce | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Alejandro Tabilo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Rodrigo Alujas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Sebastian Baez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Sebastian Baez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Ignacio Buse | 2 - 3 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Dhakshineswar Suresh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jun 2022 | Jan Lennard Struff | 2 - 1 | Marcos Giron |
| 14 Jun 2021 | Jan Lennard Struff | 1 - 2 | Marcos Giron |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.63 | 61.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |