| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.6% | 29% | +29.0% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or away | 80.5% | 82% | -1.6% | abandoned |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 72.0% | 38% | +33.8% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 64% | -12.6% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 49.8% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 28.8% | 23.6% | 47.6% |
| xgboost | 25.7% | 27.8% | 46.5% |
| logistic | 25.8% | 27.4% | 46.7% |
| Werder Bremen | Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1560 | 1690 |
| Surface Elo | 1560 | 1690 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 4 W · 3 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Augsburg | 3 - 2 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | FC Koln | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | RB Leipzig | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Freiburg | 1 - 4 | L |
| 16 May | H | Borussia Dortmund | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Borussia Dortmund | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Regensburg | 3 - 3 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Hoffenheim | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Sep | H | FC Koln | 4 - 1 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Bayern München | 1 - 5 | L |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Stuttgart | 1 - 1 | Werder Bremen |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Werder Bremen | 0 - 4 | Stuttgart |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Stuttgart | 1 - 2 | Werder Bremen |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Werder Bremen | 2 - 2 | Stuttgart |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Werder Bremen | 2 - 1 | Stuttgart |
| 02 Dec 2023 | Stuttgart | 2 - 0 | Werder Bremen |
| 05 Feb 2023 | Stuttgart | 0 - 2 | Werder Bremen |
| 13 Aug 2022 | Werder Bremen | 2 - 2 | Stuttgart |
| 04 Apr 2021 | Stuttgart | 1 - 0 | Werder Bremen |
| 06 Dec 2020 | Werder Bremen | 1 - 2 | Stuttgart |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.87 | 53.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |