| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.4% | 44% | +3.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.9% | 78% | -1.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 61.4% | 61% | +0.8% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% | 62% | -4.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.4% | 25.5% | 41.1% |
| xgboost | 33.4% | 22.4% | 44.2% |
| logistic | 26.9% | 26.9% | 46.1% |
| Andorra | Castellon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1428 | 1613 |
| Surface Elo | 1428 | 1613 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | A | Sabadell | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Oct | A | Sabadell | 0 - 0 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Granada | 3 - 2 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Granada | 3 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Sp Gijon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Ceuta | 1 - 1 | D |
| 04 Oct | H | Ceuta | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | CF Lorca Deportiva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Leganes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Leganes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Feb 2026 | Castellon | 2 - 0 | Andorra |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Andorra | 1 - 3 | Castellon |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |