| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.3% | 55% | -1.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.6% | 51.3% |
| logistic | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Robin Bertrand | Sergio Callejon Hernando | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1524 | 1595 |
| Surface Elo | 1524 | 1595 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | H | Felix Roussel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Makhlouf, Nazim | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Anton Matusevich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Guilherme Valdoleiros | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Philip Henning | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Luca Castagnola | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Thiago Agustin Pernas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Carrascosa Diaz, Maxi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Matisse Bobichon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Ziga Sesko | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.89 | 52.9% | 17 Oct 06:15 |