| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.2% | 67% | -7.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.2% | 35.8% |
| logistic | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| Coleman Wong | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1753 | 1674 |
| Surface Elo | 1753 | 1674 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | H | Kasidit Samrej | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jake Delaney | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Yi Zhou | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jay Friend | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Ognjen Milic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | James Mccabe | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Ognjen Milic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Alibek Kachmazov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Coleman Wong | 2 - 0 | Jay Friend |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 22 Oct 06:15 |