| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.1% | 84% | -21.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 75.8% | 24.2% |
| logistic | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Oriol Roca Batalla | Dimitris Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1516 | 1499 |
| Surface Elo | 1516 | 1499 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.13 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Radu Mihai Papoe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Francesco Forti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Jay Clarke | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Sergi Perez Contri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Jay Clarke | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Mattia Nannelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | Oriol Roca Batalla |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.30 | 23.3% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.19 | 84.0% | 21 Oct 06:15 |