| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.4% | 80% | -23.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.5% | 39.4% |
| logistic | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Carole Monnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1444 | 1436 |
| Surface Elo | 1444 | 1436 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 3 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Oct | A | Leolia Jeanjean | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Cagla Buyukakcay | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Nadia Podoroska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Nadia Podoroska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Cagla Buyukakcay | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Anastasia Gasanova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Fiona Crawley | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Sloane Stephens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | Barbora Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.45 | 29.0% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 06 Oct 06:15 |