| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.5% | 74% | -7.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.8% | 31.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 74.4% | 25.6% |
| logistic | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Filip Misolic | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1666 | 1520 |
| Surface Elo | 1666 | 1520 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Daniel Siniakov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Alex Marti Pujolras | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Filip Misolic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Ivan Ivanov | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Adrian Andreev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Filip Misolic | 2 - 1 | Izan Almazan Valiente |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.37 | 73.0% | 22 Oct 06:15 |