| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.6% | 57% | -3.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.9% | 80% | -3.5% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.0% | 74% | -6.6% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% | 71% | -5.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.9% | 24.9% | 23.1% |
| xgboost | 49.2% | 19.9% | 30.9% |
| logistic | 46.7% | 28.3% | 24.9% |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1545 | 1479 |
| Surface Elo | 1545 | 1479 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.43 | 0.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.29 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.43 |
| Rest days | 19 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 4 W · 2 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Nijmegen | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Nijmegen | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Groningen | 1 - 1 | D |
| 08 Sep | A | Utrecht | 3 - 3 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 5 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | BVV Barendrecht | 2 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Hoek | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Heerenveen | 0 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Heerenveen | 0 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | SV Spakenburg | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 May 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 - 2 | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 - 3 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 - 0 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 - 2 | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 - 2 | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 - 0 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 12 Feb 2023 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 - 1 | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 27 Aug 2022 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 - 1 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 12 Mar 2022 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 - 0 | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 28 Aug 2021 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 - 0 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 5.50 | 18.2% | 10 Oct 15:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 10 Oct 15:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 10 Oct 15:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 10 Oct 15:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 10 Oct 15:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.25 | 23.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.25 | 23.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.79 | 55.9% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.41 | 70.9% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.00 | 33.3% | 10 Oct 06:15 |