| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.8% | 59% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 38.2% | 61.7% |
| logistic | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Mees Rottgering | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1602 | 1703 |
| Surface Elo | 1602 | 1703 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.45 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.55 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | H | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Daniel Milavsky | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Sander Jong | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Mees Rottgering | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | Mees Rottgering |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.64 | 61.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |