| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.6% | 69% | -15.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.2% | 45.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| logistic | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| Arthur Weber | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1482 | 1522 |
| Surface Elo | 1482 | 1522 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 12 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Yanki Erel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Koki Matsuda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Ilia Simakin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Federico Cina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Arthur Weber | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Jay Friend | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Arthur Weber | 0 - 2 | Yanki Erel |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 28 Sep 06:15 |