OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
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🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:45 UTC · scheduled
Brest 1.20 19:45 1.00 Paris Saint Germain
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 46.1%79%-32.6%
DCHome or away 74.5%83%-9.0%
DNBAway (DNB) 61.9%90%-27.8%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62.5%71%-8.9%
BTTSBTTS yes 63.5%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson43.4%25.0%30.9%
xgboost18.8%30.4%50.9%
logistic22.9%20.5%56.6%
Inputs the models saw
BrestParis Saint Germain
Elo (pre-match)15331751
Surface Elo15331751
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.00
Form trend-0.600.50
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days88
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W9 W · 1 D
Brest: last 5
05 SepALe Havre2 - 1W
29 AugHToulouse2 - 2D
22 AugALe Mans2 - 2D
17 MayHAngers1 - 1D
13 MayHStrasbourg1 - 2L
Paris Saint Germain: last 5
04 SepHMonaco1 - 2L
28 AugALille2 - 2D
23 AugARennes2 - 2D
17 MayAParis FC1 - 2L
13 MayALens2 - 0W
Head to head
10 May 2026Paris Saint Germain1 - 0Brest
25 Oct 2025Brest0 - 3Paris Saint Germain
01 Feb 2025Brest2 - 5Paris Saint Germain
14 Sep 2024Paris Saint Germain3 - 1Brest
28 Jan 2024Paris Saint Germain2 - 2Brest
29 Oct 2023Brest2 - 3Paris Saint Germain
11 Mar 2023Brest1 - 2Paris Saint Germain
10 Sep 2022Paris Saint Germain1 - 0Brest
15 Jan 2022Paris Saint Germain2 - 0Brest
20 Aug 2021Brest2 - 4Paris Saint Germain
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.2778.7%13 Sep 19:39
Bet3651X2draw5.7517.4%13 Sep 19:39
Bet3651X2home11.009.1%13 Sep 19:39
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4071.4%13 Sep 19:39
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.0033.3%13 Sep 19:39
Generated 2026-09-14 00:13 UTC