| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.8% | 49% | -5.0% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.5% | 81% | -5.5% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 55.6% | 66% | -10.2% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% | 63% | -1.7% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.2% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.3% | 25.8% | 37.9% |
| xgboost | 30.2% | 26.8% | 43.0% |
| logistic | 35.1% | 26.8% | 38.1% |
| Kelty Hearts | Elgin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1378 | 1387 |
| Surface Elo | 1378 | 1387 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Edinburgh City | 1 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Forfar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Forfar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | East Kilbride | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Stirling | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | University of Stirling | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Edinburgh City | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Edinburgh City | 0 - 0 | D |
| 13 Oct | H | Aberdeen | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Forfar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Elgin | 4 - 1 | Kelty Hearts |
| 19 Mar 2022 | Elgin | 0 - 0 | Kelty Hearts |
| 05 Feb 2022 | Kelty Hearts | 4 - 0 | Elgin |
| 25 Jan 2022 | Elgin | 2 - 0 | Kelty Hearts |
| 11 Sep 2021 | Kelty Hearts | 1 - 1 | Elgin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |