| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.3% | 55% | -6.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.3% | 78% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.6% | 74% | -11.3% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.5% | 58% | +1.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 25.2% | 24.0% | 50.8% |
| xgboost | 27.7% | 31.0% | 41.3% |
| logistic | 34.9% | 26.2% | 38.9% |
| Sassuolo | Ac Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1633 | 1768 |
| Surface Elo | 1633 | 1768 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 22 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 18 Sep | A | Monza | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Juventus | 3 - 2 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Bologna | 2 - 2 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Torino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Atalanta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Lecce | 3 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Villa Dalme Valle Brembana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Lazio | 2 - 2 | D |
| 06 Sep | A | Juventus | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Venezia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 May 2026 | Sassuolo | 2 - 0 | Ac Milan |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Ac Milan | 2 - 2 | Sassuolo |
| 14 Apr 2024 | Sassuolo | 3 - 3 | Ac Milan |
| 30 Dec 2023 | Ac Milan | 1 - 0 | Sassuolo |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Ac Milan | 2 - 5 | Sassuolo |
| 30 Aug 2022 | Sassuolo | 0 - 0 | Ac Milan |
| 22 May 2022 | Sassuolo | 0 - 3 | Ac Milan |
| 28 Nov 2021 | Ac Milan | 1 - 3 | Sassuolo |
| 21 Apr 2021 | Ac Milan | 1 - 2 | Sassuolo |
| 20 Dec 2020 | Sassuolo | 1 - 2 | Ac Milan |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.90 | 52.6% | 11 Oct 17:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 11 Oct 17:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11 Oct 17:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 11 Oct 17:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 11 Oct 17:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.90 | 52.6% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.85 | 26.0% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.27 | 23.4% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 11 Oct 06:15 |