| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 86.5% | 94% | -7.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 94.0% | 6.0% |
| logistic | 80.1% | 19.9% |
| Titouan Droguet | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1836 | 1462 |
| Surface Elo | 1836 | 1462 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Mark Lajal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Borna Gojo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Karl Poling | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Moez Echargui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Thomas Fancutt | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jun | A | Andre Ilagan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Karl Poling | 1 - 2 | Titouan Droguet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.75 | 12.9% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.06 | 94.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |