| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.4% | 62% | -6.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 66.4% | 33.5% |
| logistic | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1657 | 1665 |
| Surface Elo | 1657 | 1665 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.86 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | H | Borna Gojo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Diego Dedura Palomero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Borna Gojo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Moez Echargui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Jack Pinnington Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 1 | Jack Pinnington Jones |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.60 | 62.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |