OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
🇪🇸 La Liga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 12:00 UTC · finished
Vallecano 1.60 0 - 3 1.20 Elche
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.0%56%-3.5%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 78.6%81%-2.8%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 69.2%74%-4.9%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.7%54%+4.3%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 57.3%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson46.5%27.1%26.5%
xgboost54.0%24.2%21.8%
logistic54.2%25.4%20.4%
Inputs the models saw
VallecanoElche
Elo (pre-match)16541583
Surface Elo16541583
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.20
Form trend0.30-0.10
Season points per game1.130.78
Season goals for / game1.501.22
Season goals against / game2.131.89
Rest days46
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 1 D
Vallecano: last 5
19 OctAGetafe1 - 1D
18 OctAUD Sanse3 - 4L
11 OctHCF Trival Valderas Alcoron1 - 0W
19 SepALeganes1 - 4L
19 SepAOsasuna1 - 1D
Elche: last 5
17 OctAVillarreal0 - 0D
17 OctAVillarreal0 - 0D
11 OctHCelta0 - 0D
11 OctHCelta0 - 0D
10 OctHValencia4 - 1W
Head to head
03 Apr 2026Vallecano1 - 0Elche
21 Dec 2025Elche4 - 0Vallecano
29 Apr 2023Elche4 - 0Vallecano
03 Oct 2022Vallecano2 - 1Elche
18 Feb 2022Elche2 - 1Vallecano
17 Oct 2021Vallecano2 - 1Elche
08 Mar 2020Vallecano2 - 3Elche
05 Oct 2019Elche1 - 1Vallecano
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.2023.8%24 Oct 13:00
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%24 Oct 13:00
Bet3651X2home1.8055.6%24 Oct 13:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8055.6%24 Oct 13:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0050.0%24 Oct 13:00
SportyBet1X2away4.6821.4%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.9725.2%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8055.6%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8055.6%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:59 UTC