| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.0% | 60% | -5.5% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.3% | 59.6% |
| logistic | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| De Marchi, Andrea | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1565 | 1459 |
| Surface Elo | 1565 | 1459 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.31 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.54 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 3 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Gianmarco Ferrari | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | H | Gabriele Crivellaro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Marcello Serafini | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Primucci, Leonardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Alvarez Valdes, Luis Carlos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Michele Mecarelli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Juan Bautista Otegui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Dmitry Popko | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Lorenzo Berto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Daniel Siniakov | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.70 | 58.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.04 | 49.0% | 11 Nov 06:15 |