OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-22
🎾 ATP Challenger Cali, Colombia Men Singles · Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:10 UTC · finished
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1.80 2 - 0 2.40 Nicolas Jarry
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 58.3%49%+8.9%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov37.0%63.0%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost40.3%59.7%
logistic45.5%54.5%
Inputs the models saw
Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaNicolas Jarry
Elo (pre-match)16471710
Surface Elo16471710
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.802.40
Form trend-0.300.00
Season points per game1.883.00
Season goals for / game1.502.00
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W1 W · 0 D
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida: last 5
20 OctAJose Pereira2 - 0W
19 OctAGustavo Heide2 - 0W
19 OctAJuan Manuel La Serna2 - 1W
19 OctHNicolas Jarry2 - 0W
19 OctAJose Pereira2 - 0W
Nicolas Jarry: last 5
19 OctHBarrios Vera, Marcelo Tomas2 - 1W
19 OctAMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida0 - 2L
19 OctHTomas Barrios Vera2 - 1W
13 AprAElmer Moller2 - 1W
06 AprAJurij Rodionov1 - 2L
Head to head
19 Oct 2026Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida2 - 0Nicolas Jarry
04 Apr 2022Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida0 - 2Nicolas Jarry
14 Mar 2022Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida2 - 1Nicolas Jarry
12 Jul 2021Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida2 - 1Nicolas Jarry
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.0548.8%22 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7158.5%22 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC