| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.0% | 78% | -13.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 29.9% | 70.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 36.2% | 63.8% |
| logistic | 35.2% | 64.8% |
| Raphael Collignon | Jiri Lehecka | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1823 | 2000 |
| Surface Elo | 1823 | 2000 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Jiri Lehecka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Nishesh Basavareddy | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Nishesh Basavareddy | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Sebastian Gorzny | 2 - 3 | L |
| 26 Aug | H | Rinky Hijikata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Raphael Collignon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Rafael Jodar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Rafael Jodar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Nuno Borges | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Nuno Borges | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Jiri Lehecka | 2 - 0 | Raphael Collignon |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Jiri Lehecka | 3 - 0 | Raphael Collignon |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.32 | 75.8% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.55 | 28.2% | 22 Oct 06:15 |