| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.4% | 48% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.6% | 76% | -1.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.6% | 65% | -2.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% | 58% | +6.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 28.7% | 28.4% | 42.9% |
| xgboost | 28.6% | 23.0% | 48.4% |
| logistic | 26.3% | 26.9% | 46.8% |
| Angers | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1546 | 1640 |
| Surface Elo | 1546 | 1640 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.25 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 7 W · 1 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Lyon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Lyon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Lorient | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Lorient | 0 - 0 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Marseille | 2 - 5 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Rennes | 5 - 2 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Rennes | 5 - 2 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Brest | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Brest | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Lyon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Angers | 0 - 2 | Nice |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Nice | 0 - 1 | Angers |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Nice | 2 - 1 | Angers |
| 01 Sep 2024 | Angers | 1 - 4 | Nice |
| 02 Apr 2023 | Angers | 1 - 1 | Nice |
| 18 Sep 2022 | Nice | 0 - 1 | Angers |
| 20 Feb 2022 | Nice | 1 - 0 | Angers |
| 31 Oct 2021 | Angers | 1 - 2 | Nice |
| 07 Feb 2021 | Nice | 3 - 0 | Angers |
| 01 Nov 2020 | Angers | 0 - 3 | Nice |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.53 | 28.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.72 | 58.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |