OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-26
⚽ National League · Saturday 26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Sutton 0.80 3 - 3 1.40 Forest Green
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 50.2%42%+8.6%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.1%79%-3.6%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 64.7%57%+7.2%void
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 46.3%52%-5.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 50.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson27.3%25.4%47.3%
xgboost32.0%28.7%39.4%
logistic29.7%27.4%43.0%
Inputs the models saw
SuttonForest Green
Elo (pre-match)14081490
Surface Elo14081490
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.40
Form trend-0.500.20
Season points per game1.781.44
Season goals for / game1.111.44
Season goals against / game1.111.56
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W5 W · 2 D
Sutton: last 5
19 SepAHalifax1 - 1D
19 SepAHalifax1 - 1D
15 SepHEastleigh2 - 1W
12 SepHScunthorpe0 - 2L
05 SepABarrow0 - 3L
Forest Green: last 5
19 SepHBoston Utd1 - 3L
19 SepHBoston Utd1 - 3L
15 SepACarlisle1 - 1D
12 SepHGateshead4 - 0W
05 SepAHornchurch1 - 0W
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Sutton1 - 1Forest Green
20 Aug 2025Forest Green4 - 0Sutton
11 Mar 2025Forest Green2 - 1Sutton
31 Aug 2024Sutton1 - 2Forest Green
16 Mar 2024Forest Green0 - 1Sutton
02 Sep 2023Sutton0 - 1Forest Green
12 Feb 2022Sutton1 - 1Forest Green
07 Aug 2021Forest Green2 - 1Sutton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.4041.7%26 Sep 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%26 Sep 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.6038.5%26 Sep 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8554.0%26 Sep 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9551.3%26 Sep 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.4540.8%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.7037.0%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8454.4%26 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9551.3%26 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:25 UTC