| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.8% | 68% | -17.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| logistic | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1491 | 1518 |
| Surface Elo | 1491 | 1518 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.29 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.43 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Franco Ribero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Tristan McCormick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Daniel Salazar Martinez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Juan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Nicolas Bruna | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.46 | 68.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |