OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
Celtic 2.40 2 - 2 2.20 Dundee United
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 71.2%80%-8.9%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 91.7%96%-4.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 89.8%94%-4.4%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.1%74%-14.7%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson80.3%12.7%7.0%
xgboost71.8%18.1%10.1%
logistic78.1%15.7%6.3%
Inputs the models saw
CelticDundee United
Elo (pre-match)19291655
Surface Elo19291655
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.402.20
Form trend-0.30-0.20
Season points per game2.701.50
Season goals for / game2.501.40
Season goals against / game0.601.40
Rest days34
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W2 W · 1 D
Celtic: last 5
25 OctAHibernian2 - 1W
25 OctAHibernian2 - 1W
22 OctHCelta1 - 2L
18 OctHHeart of Midlothian FC7 - 1W
18 OctHHearts7 - 1W
Dundee United: last 5
24 OctHAberdeen3 - 2W
24 OctHAberdeen3 - 2W
17 OctASt Johnstone1 - 1D
17 OctASt Johnstone1 - 1D
10 OctHHibernian1 - 0W
Head to head
22 Mar 2026Dundee United2 - 0Celtic
10 Jan 2026Celtic4 - 0Dundee United
17 Dec 2025Dundee United2 - 1Celtic
26 Apr 2025Dundee United0 - 5Celtic
15 Feb 2025Celtic3 - 0Dundee United
08 Jan 2025Celtic2 - 0Dundee United
22 Dec 2024Dundee United0 - 0Celtic
29 Jan 2023Dundee United0 - 2Celtic
05 Nov 2022Celtic4 - 2Dundee United
28 Aug 2022Dundee United0 - 9Celtic
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away8.5011.8%28 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2draw5.5018.2%28 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2home1.2778.7%28 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.2977.5%28 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.7526.7%28 Oct 19:45
SportyBet1X2away9.2110.9%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw6.5515.3%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2878.1%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3574.1%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.2530.8%28 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:58 UTC