| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.4% | 23% | +24.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.8% | 81% | -4.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.7% | 29% | +30.5% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 77% | -16.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.7% | 21.6% | 41.7% |
| xgboost | 30.9% | 28.0% | 41.0% |
| logistic | 31.2% | 25.6% | 43.2% |
| RB Leipzig | PSV Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1707 | 1846 |
| Surface Elo | 1707 | 1846 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Hamburg | 5 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Werder Bremen | 1 - 3 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Heerenveen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Roda JC Kerkrade | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | A | Almere City | 0 - 3 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Heerenveen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Graafschap | 2 - 2 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.68 | 21.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.91 | 20.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.28 | 78.1% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.80 | 26.3% | 13 Oct 06:15 |