OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
🇪🇸 La Liga · Saturday 07 November 2026, 13:00 UTC · finished
Malaga 0.40 1 - 2 0.80 Santander
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 41.5%42%-0.0%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.7%76%-0.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 53.9%57%-2.7%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.3%59%-2.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 59.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson43.1%23.3%33.6%
xgboost37.3%23.4%39.3%
logistic37.9%29.3%32.9%
Inputs the models saw
MalagaSantander
Elo (pre-match)15261576
Surface Elo15261576
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.400.80
Form trend0.00-0.20
Season points per game0.451.00
Season goals for / game0.731.36
Season goals against / game1.912.64
Rest days65
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 3 D
Malaga: last 5
31 OctABetis1 - 2L
31 OctABetis1 - 2L
27 OctASporting de Alcazar CF3 - 0W
23 OctAAlaves1 - 1D
23 OctAAlaves1 - 1D
Santander: last 5
01 NovHReal Madrid0 - 3L
01 NovHReal Madrid0 - 3L
29 OctARibadesella CF2 - 0W
24 OctHEspanol2 - 1W
24 OctHEspanol2 - 1W
Head to head
24 May 2026Malaga1 - 1Santander
05 Oct 2025Santander3 - 0Malaga
01 Feb 2025Santander2 - 1Malaga
23 Nov 2024Malaga0 - 0Santander
05 Mar 2023Malaga0 - 1Santander
01 Oct 2022Santander0 - 0Malaga
23 Feb 2020Malaga2 - 0Santander
17 Aug 2019Santander0 - 1Malaga
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.0033.3%07 Nov 13:00
Bet3651X2draw3.7027.0%07 Nov 13:00
Bet3651X2home2.2544.4%07 Nov 13:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6261.7%07 Nov 13:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3043.5%07 Nov 13:00
SportyBet1X2away2.9234.2%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6527.4%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4740.5%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7058.8%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC