| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.4% | 67% | -6.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.4% | 32.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.5% | 44.4% |
| logistic | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Filip Misolic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1726 | 1662 |
| Surface Elo | 1726 | 1662 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.08 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.69 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Marco Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Filip Misolic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Mateus Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Zormann, Marcelo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | Filip Misolic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 05 Nov 06:15 |