| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.1% | 51% | +9.8% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.7% | 39.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.4% | 50.5% |
| logistic | 62.1% | 37.9% |
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1500 | 1453 |
| Surface Elo | 1500 | 1453 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 23 | 30 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Pietro Marino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Branko Djuric | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Alexander Chang | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Yanaki Milev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Pavel Lagutin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Christian Langmo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Lorenzo Angelini | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Pierluigi Basile | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.76 | 56.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |