| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 73.9% | 78% | -4.2% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 86.7% | 13.3% |
| logistic | 72.3% | 27.7% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Mattia Bellucci | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1785 | 1528 |
| Surface Elo | 1785 | 1528 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Yi Zhou | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Alexandre Muller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Elias Ymer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Lloyd Harris | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Yanki Erel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Pablo Carreno Busta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Ilya Ivashka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct 2026 | Mattia Bellucci | 1 - 2 | Yi Zhou |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.29 | 77.5% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Yi Zhou | 3.77 | 26.5% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.25 | 80.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.00 | 25.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.30 | 76.9% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.10 | 24.4% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Mattia Bellucci | 1.32 | 75.8% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Yi Zhou | 4.30 | 23.3% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.28 | 78.1% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Yi Zhou | 3.85 | 26.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.27 | 78.7% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Yi Zhou | 3.80 | 26.3% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.27 | 78.7% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Yi Zhou | 3.80 | 26.3% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.25 | 80.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Yi Zhou | 3.88 | 25.8% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.25 | 80.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.00 | 25.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.30 | 76.9% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.10 | 24.4% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Mattia Bellucci | 1.32 | 75.8% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Yi Zhou | 4.30 | 23.3% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.27 | 78.7% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Yi Zhou | 3.80 | 26.3% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.29 | 77.5% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Yi Zhou | 3.96 | 25.2% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.20 | 83.3% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 3.75 | 26.7% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.18 | 84.8% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 3.80 | 26.3% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.25 | 80.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.00 | 25.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.25 | 80.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.00 | 25.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.25 | 80.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.00 | 25.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.26 | 79.4% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.10 | 24.4% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Mattia Bellucci | 1.24 | 80.7% | 07 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.00 | 25.0% | 07 Oct 06:00 |