| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.2% | 60% | +5.0% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.1% | 43.7% |
| logistic | 66.9% | 33.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Giulia Safina Popa | Golovina, Maria | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1658 | 1550 |
| Surface Elo | 1658 | 1550 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.78 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.44 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Sophie Luescher | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Andreea Prisacariu | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Iulia Maria Buculei | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Lombardini, Marta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Egorova, Daria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Maric, D | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Zelnickova, Radka | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 11 Nov 06:15 |