OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-09-29

NFL · Tuesday 29 September 2026, 00:15 UTC · finished

Chicago Bears – 27 - 7 – Philadelphia Eagles

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	52.2%	36%	+15.8%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	52.2%	47.8%

Inputs the models saw

	Chicago Bears	Philadelphia Eagles
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.17
form diff	-0.12
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	0.08
opponent strength diff	0.12
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-09-28T00:15:00+00:00

Chicago Bears: last 5

20 Sep	H	Minnesota Vikings	3 - 9	L
13 Sep	A	Carolina Panthers	59 - 37	W
18 Jan	H	Los Angeles Rams	17 - 20	L
11 Jan	H	Green Bay Packers	31 - 27	W
04 Jan	H	Detroit Lions	16 - 19	L

Philadelphia Eagles: last 5

20 Sep	A	Tennessee Titans	24 - 20	W
13 Sep	H	Washington Commanders	24 - 22	W
11 Jan	H	San Francisco 49ers	19 - 23	L
04 Jan	H	Washington Commanders	17 - 24	L
28 Dec	A	Buffalo Bills	13 - 12	W

Head to head

28 Nov 2025	Philadelphia Eagles	15 - 24	Chicago Bears
18 Dec 2022	Chicago Bears	20 - 25	Philadelphia Eagles
03 Nov 2019	Philadelphia Eagles	22 - 14	Chicago Bears
06 Jan 2019	Chicago Bears	15 - 16	Philadelphia Eagles
26 Nov 2017	Philadelphia Eagles	31 - 3	Chicago Bears
20 Sep 2016	Chicago Bears	14 - 29	Philadelphia Eagles
23 Dec 2013	Philadelphia Eagles	54 - 11	Chicago Bears
08 Nov 2011	Philadelphia Eagles	24 - 30	Chicago Bears
28 Nov 2010	Chicago Bears	31 - 26	Philadelphia Eagles
23 Nov 2009	Chicago Bears	20 - 24	Philadelphia Eagles

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	2.61	38.3%	28 Sep 22:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.56	64.1%	28 Sep 22:20

Generated 2026-10-30 19:28 UTC