| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 73.9% | 80% | -6.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 73.3% | 26.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 77.1% | 22.9% |
| logistic | 62.6% | 37.4% |
| Pedro Rodenas | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1450 | 1303 |
| Surface Elo | 1450 | 1303 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | H | Ioannis Xilas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jan | A | Alastair Gray | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jan | H | Tibo Colson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Stefan Kozlov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Alfredo Perez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Ivan Gakhov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Munk Mesa, Bernardo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Nov | A | Michael Agwi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jul | A | Adria Soriano Barrera | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jul | A | Fabrizio Andaloro | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.60 | 27.8% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.25 | 80.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |