OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-03
⚽ Scottish Championship · Saturday 03 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Morton 0.20 1 - 2 1.40 Raith Rvs
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 48.7%65%-15.8%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 74.1%92%-17.5%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 64.7%85%-20.5%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 52.4%56%-3.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 54.4%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson26.6%30.3%43.1%
xgboost29.9%24.5%45.6%
logistic21.7%27.8%50.5%
Inputs the models saw
MortonRaith Rvs
Elo (pre-match)14001563
Surface Elo14001563
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.201.40
Form trend0.200.20
Season points per game0.131.75
Season goals for / game0.501.38
Season goals against / game1.880.63
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W2 W · 6 D
Morton: last 5
25 SepAInverness C0 - 2L
25 SepAInverness Caledonian Thistle FC0 - 2L
19 SepHDunfermline0 - 1L
19 SepHDunfermline0 - 1L
11 SepHLivingston1 - 4L
Raith Rvs: last 5
25 SepHLivingston0 - 2L
19 SepAPartick0 - 0D
12 SepHArbroath4 - 0W
05 SepAInverness C2 - 0W
28 AugADunfermline0 - 1L
Head to head
11 Apr 2026Raith Rvs3 - 2Morton
14 Feb 2026Morton0 - 0Raith Rvs
01 Nov 2025Raith Rvs1 - 1Morton
06 Sep 2025Morton0 - 1Raith Rvs
26 Apr 2025Raith Rvs1 - 1Morton
25 Mar 2025Morton3 - 3Raith Rvs
16 Nov 2024Raith Rvs2 - 3Morton
05 Oct 2024Morton2 - 0Raith Rvs
27 Apr 2024Morton0 - 0Raith Rvs
27 Feb 2024Raith Rvs0 - 0Morton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.5763.7%03 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%03 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home4.7521.1%03 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8554.0%03 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9551.3%03 Oct 15:00
Generated 2026-10-30 19:24 UTC