| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.7% | 43% | +3.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.4% | 78% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 58.7% | 58% | +0.8% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 60% | -0.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.3% | 25.5% | 34.2% |
| xgboost | 40.7% | 24.9% | 34.4% |
| logistic | 41.1% | 26.6% | 32.3% |
| Boston Utd | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1412 | 1406 |
| Surface Elo | 1412 | 1406 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Southampton | 5 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Southend | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Southend | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Yeovil | 0 - 6 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Yeovil | 0 - 6 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Derby | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Fylde | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Fylde | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Barrow | 0 - 3 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Barrow | 0 - 3 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Scunthorpe | 3 - 6 | Boston Utd |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Boston Utd | 1 - 1 | Scunthorpe |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.59 | 62.9% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |