| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.7% | 46% | +3.7% | |
| DC | Home or away | 77.1% | 79% | -1.6% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 64.1% | 62% | +2.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 63% | -5.3% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.9% | 26.3% | 40.8% |
| xgboost | 26.3% | 19.4% | 54.3% |
| logistic | 23.8% | 27.9% | 48.4% |
| Crewe | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1476 | 1590 |
| Surface Elo | 1476 | 1590 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.57 | 2.17 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 2.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.71 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Chesterfield | 1 - 5 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Chesterfield | 1 - 5 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Exeter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Exeter City | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Rochdale | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | York | 3 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | York | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Oldham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Oldham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Swindon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 Feb 2026 | Barnet | 1 - 1 | Crewe |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Crewe | 1 - 2 | Barnet |
| 30 Mar 2018 | Barnet | 2 - 1 | Crewe |
| 19 Aug 2017 | Crewe | 1 - 0 | Barnet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.59 | 62.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |