| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.8% | 45% | +5.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 74.4% | 74% | -0.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 64.0% | 62% | +2.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 52% | +1.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.8% | 30.8% | 28.4% |
| xgboost | 37.3% | 30.3% | 32.3% |
| logistic | 49.2% | 25.3% | 25.5% |
| Girona | Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1577 | 1573 |
| Surface Elo | 1577 | 1573 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 0.43 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 5 W · 1 D |
| 27 Sep | H | Osasuna | 3 - 2 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Albacete | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Albacete | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Cadiz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Cadiz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Almeria | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Almeria | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | CF La Nucia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Real Murcia Imperial FC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Sociedad B | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 May 2026 | Girona | 0 - 1 | Mallorca |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Mallorca | 1 - 2 | Girona |
| 05 May 2025 | Girona | 1 - 0 | Mallorca |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Mallorca | 2 - 1 | Girona |
| 03 Mar 2024 | Mallorca | 1 - 0 | Girona |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Girona | 5 - 3 | Mallorca |
| 04 May 2023 | Girona | 2 - 1 | Mallorca |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Mallorca | 1 - 1 | Girona |
| 30 Jan 2021 | Mallorca | 1 - 0 | Girona |
| 14 Nov 2020 | Girona | 0 - 1 | Mallorca |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 04 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 04 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 04 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 04 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 04 Oct 20:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.93 | 51.8% | 04 Oct 06:15 |