| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.3% | 75% | -13.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 29.0% | 70.9% |
| logistic | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| Sebastian Gima | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1487 | 1500 |
| Surface Elo | 1487 | 1500 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Maximus Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Iannis Miletich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Gabi Adrian Boitan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Jannik Opitz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Max Wiskandt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Marco Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Radu David Turcanu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.34 | 74.6% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.05 | 32.8% | 12 Oct 06:15 |