| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.0% | 86% | -22.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 82.0% | 17.9% |
| logistic | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Laurent Lokoli | Gabriele Pennaforti | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1535 | 1400 |
| Surface Elo | 1535 | 1400 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Sciahbasi, Matteo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Samuele Pieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Pol Martin Tiffon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Samuele Pieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Ruben Hartig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Matteo Vavassori | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Martin Van Der Meerschen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Mar | H | Sean Cuenin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Mar | A | Florent Bax | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.65 | 21.5% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.16 | 86.2% | 08 Oct 06:15 |