OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-11

NFL · Sunday 11 October 2026, 20:25 UTC · finished

Seattle Seahawks – 29 - 32 – San Francisco 49ers

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	65.1%	63%	+1.8%	✗ miss

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	65.1%	34.9%

Inputs the models saw

	Seattle Seahawks	San Francisco 49ers
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.07
form diff	0.12
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	0.68
opponent strength diff	-0.05
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-10T20:25:00+00:00

Seattle Seahawks: last 5

04 Oct	H	Los Angeles Chargers	30 - 23	W
27 Sep	A	Washington Commanders	31 - 33	L
20 Sep	A	Arizona Cardinals	31 - 7	W
10 Sep	H	New England Patriots	13 - 10	W
08 Feb	A	New England Patriots	29 - 13	W

San Francisco 49ers: last 5

04 Oct	H	Denver Broncos	24 - 14	W
27 Sep	H	Arizona Cardinals	36 - 30	W
20 Sep	H	Miami Dolphins	35 - 13	W
11 Sep	A	Los Angeles Rams	27 - 7	W
18 Jan	A	Seattle Seahawks	6 - 41	L

Head to head

18 Jan 2026	Seattle Seahawks	41 - 6	San Francisco 49ers
04 Jan 2026	San Francisco 49ers	3 - 13	Seattle Seahawks
07 Sep 2025	Seattle Seahawks	13 - 17	San Francisco 49ers
17 Nov 2024	San Francisco 49ers	17 - 20	Seattle Seahawks
11 Oct 2024	Seattle Seahawks	24 - 36	San Francisco 49ers
10 Dec 2023	San Francisco 49ers	28 - 16	Seattle Seahawks
24 Nov 2023	Seattle Seahawks	13 - 31	San Francisco 49ers
14 Jan 2023	San Francisco 49ers	41 - 23	Seattle Seahawks
16 Dec 2022	Seattle Seahawks	13 - 21	San Francisco 49ers
18 Sep 2022	San Francisco 49ers	27 - 7	Seattle Seahawks

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.60	62.5%	11 Oct 18:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	2.46	40.7%	11 Oct 18:20

Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC