| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.8% | 79% | -11.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.8% | 61.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 16.8% | 83.1% |
| logistic | 30.9% | 69.1% |
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | Felipe Meligeni Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1437 | 1627 |
| Surface Elo | 1437 | 1627 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.11 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.56 |
| Rest days | 25 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Juan Sebastian Gomez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Carlos Maria Zarate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Diego Dedura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | Juan Pablo Ficovich |
| 17 Mar 2025 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 1 | Juan Pablo Ficovich |
| 21 Oct 2024 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 1 | Juan Pablo Ficovich |
| 27 Mar 2023 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | Juan Pablo Ficovich |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.26 | 79.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.60 | 27.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |